Worst Guillotine Leagues™ ADP Values: Do You Believe in Life After Love?
Drafting for a Guillotine League takes a different strategy than other fantasy football formats. Check out three of the worst values at their Guillotine Leagues™ ADP, according to Danny Cross.
Before considering the worst Guillotine Leagues™ ADP values in 2026, it's important to understand why this format requires a short-term approach to team-building. Once we survive Week 1, we'll be able to bid on a number of high-quality players on the waiver wire. So we need to focus our drafts more on early-season scoring than season-long upside.
Last week, we looked at the best Guillotine Leagues ADP values using this same approach. Here are three of the worst Guillotine Leagues values at ADP on the board in 2026.
Worst Guillotine Leagues™ ADP Values 2026
Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI
- Guillotine League ADP: 26.4 (RB14)
- Week 1 consensus ranking: RB19
I don't mean to sound overly focused on Week 1—we're still trying to build a high-end core in Guillotine League drafts that can anchor our fantasy squads all year long. But Jeremiyah Love's situation offers a ton of red flags for Guillotine League drafters compared to redraft leagues.
First, he's a rookie. And even a top-three pick like Love can take a few weeks to get fully up to speed in the NFL. Plus, we don't know what Love's early-season role will look like—Arizona currently lists free agent signing Tyler Allgeier as the team's starting running back, with Love slotted as the RB2. That seems unlikely to be the case a couple of weeks from now, but it's annoying and something to consider at the 2-3 turn in Guillotine League drafts.
Even if Love were the clear-cut RB1 for the Cardinals, we're talking about a team projected by ESPN's Mike Clay to score 18.0 points per game—fourth-worst in the NFL. Clay has the Cardinals winning just 3.6 games and facing the league's toughest schedule. With Allgeier around to potentially poach goal-line carries and veteran James Conner fully capable of helping out on passing downs, there's a non-zero chance Love's rookie season is totally derailed by competition for touches and/or the team's futility in general.
Maybe Love goes off down the stretch and wins Guillotine Leagues across the land. In that case, it will probably be for a team that picks him up on waivers after the manager who drafted him gets chopped.
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Luther Burden | WR | CHI
- Guillotine League ADP: 55.5 (WR23)
- Week 1 consensus ranking: WR32
Continuing with the theme of "players it doesn't feel great to fade," Luther Burden is another young, high-upside guy who brings too much early-season risk to be selected in the fifth round of a Guillotine League.
Burden picked up a groin injury this week, so his ADP is likely to fall a bit before peak draft season. The latest news out of training camp suggests that he'll be ready to suit up by Week 1, but that's far from certain considering he's set to miss multiple weeks of camp.
When the Bears do take the field at Carolina on Sept. 13, Burden will have two other high-end talents to contend with for targets in Rome Odunze and Colston Loveland. It could take weeks to find out how Chicago will distribute the targets, with Loveland a particular threat to go alpha on the whole situation after the way he finished last season.
In the fifth and sixth rounds of Guillotine Leagues, it's best to click on players with guaranteed early-season workloads. Burden is the type of talent in the type of situation where passing on him can burn us if everything goes right for him, but you're taking a big risk by betting on it at this price.
Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF
- Guillotine League ADP: 112.9 (TE11)
- Week 1 consensus ranking: TE13
Tight ends can be a crapshoot in fantasy football on a week-to-week basis, so this isn't meant to be a full fade of Dalton Kincaid in season-long leagues. But the Bills' passing-down TE has never played a full complement of snaps, missed time last year due to injury, and now has a de facto WR1 to deal with in DJ Moore.
Kincaid is a legitimate part of the team's passing attack, but last season he ran a route on a career-low 51% of the team's passing plays (including the playoffs). Blocking TE Dawson Knox had a 52% route share, and saw way more play-action looks (59% to 25%) and an equal rate of end-zone targets (21%). And we know that Josh Allen is notorious for widely distributing his targets.
Some of these are minor concerns considering Kincaid's reasonable draft cost (TE11) and spike-week potential. But in a Guillotine League, it's the down weeks that kill you. Last season, Kincaid failed to top 7.8 PPR points in six of his 14 games, including two brutal showings of 3.3 and zero(!) points. With the terrifying Houston Texans defense up first on the road, it's best to either make an earlier investment at the position or consider cheaper late-round options who have easier paths to Week 1 fantasy points.
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